Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
KaragandaHOME · -
49 : 852022.10.24 · 종료
Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME38.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
KaragandaAnalysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-16.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.00
100.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.17
14.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Karaganda
W · 61-77W · 70-39L · 93-76W · 76-67W · 64-83
Bars Petropavlovsk
W · 94-51W · 45-99W · 90-53W · 32-123L · 76-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.13 | Karaganda | 67 : 82 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2026.10.10 | Karaganda | 66 : 95 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2025.03.06 | Karaganda | 48 : 64 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2025.01.31 | Karaganda | 39 : 76 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2024.12.15 | Karaganda | 39 : 114 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2024.11.10 | Karaganda | 46 : 84 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2024.10.16 | Karaganda | 52 : 90 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2024.02.28 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 81 : 45 | Karaganda |
| 2024.01.29 | Karaganda | 60 : 93 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2024.01.27 | Karaganda | 45 : 79 | Bars Petropavlovsk |