Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
ChelSU KostanayHOME · -
56 : 882022.10.23 · 종료
ShymkentAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY79.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 78.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+79.6%
VALUE EDGE+79.6%
FAIR ODDS1.26
GRADES
ChelSU KostanayAnalysis MetricsShymkent
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-5.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+14.42
136.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
134.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
0.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
ChelSU Kostanay
L · 70-39L · 66-87W · 61-70
Shymkent
W · 98-96W · 68-94W · 100-44
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.09 | Shymkent | 96 : 45 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2025.03.03 | Shymkent | 65 : 48 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2025.01.28 | Shymkent | 88 : 76 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.12.12 | Shymkent | 108 : 65 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.10.20 | Shymkent | 91 : 86 | ChelSU Kostanay |
| 2024.02.24 | ChelSU Kostanay | 78 : 95 | Shymkent |
| 2024.01.24 | ChelSU Kostanay | 66 : 82 | Shymkent |
| 2024.01.22 | ChelSU Kostanay | 68 : 99 | Shymkent |
| 2023.11.11 | ChelSU Kostanay | 71 : 81 | Shymkent |
| 2023.04.09 | ChelSU Kostanay | 78 : 87 | Shymkent |