Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Higher League Kazakhstan

Aktobe 2HOME · -

45 : 992022.10.22 · 종료

Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME12.0%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY88.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 88.9% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +88.0%

VALUE EDGE+88.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

Aktobe 2Analysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk

8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 91.7%

-11.75 Point MarginHigher is better +16.00

153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 148.17

0.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.1 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

12.0%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

88.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Aktobe 2

W · 60-66L · 61-70W · 77-78L · 55-78L · 51-103

Bars Petropavlovsk

W · 90-53W · 32-123L · 76-67W · 86-76W · 82-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.04.08	Aktobe 2	63 : 81	Bars Petropavlovsk
2022.11.17	Aktobe 2	51 : 84	Bars Petropavlovsk
2022.10.22	Aktobe 2	45 : 99	Bars Petropavlovsk
2020.10.29	Aktobe 2	41 : 100	Bars Petropavlovsk
2020.10.25	Aktobe 2	54 : 90	Bars Petropavlovsk