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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
BC Almaty 2HOME · -
93 : 762022.10.21 · 종료
KaragandaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME23.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY76.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 78.1% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +76.4%
VALUE EDGE+76.4%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
BC Almaty 2Analysis MetricsKaraganda
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+16.17 Point MarginHigher is better -16.08
159.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 100.58
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
0.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
23.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
76.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Almaty 2
W · 72-91L · 20-0W · 79-64W · 51-103W · 62-81
Karaganda
W · 76-67W · 64-83W · 95-50W · 66-70L · 83-63

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.07BC Almaty 281 : 67Karaganda
2022.11.16BC Almaty 280 : 65Karaganda
2022.10.21BC Almaty 293 : 76Karaganda
2020.12.17BC Almaty 279 : 64Karaganda
2020.11.25BC Almaty 251 : 85Karaganda