Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Higher League
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
72 : 912022.10.20 · 종료
BC Almaty 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.5%
VALUE EDGE+56.5%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsBC Almaty 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+16.17
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.50
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
85.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
W · 82-68L · 74-67L · 82-67L · 66-70W · 96-100
BC Almaty 2
L · 20-0W · 79-64W · 51-103W · 62-81L · 51-85
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.23 | BC Almaty 2 | 107 : 79 | Pavlodar |
| 2023.04.06 | Pavlodar | 75 : 84 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.11.15 | Pavlodar | 62 : 95 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2022.10.20 | Pavlodar | 72 : 91 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.11.19 | Pavlodar | 73 : 76 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.11.03 | Pavlodar | 82 : 105 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.02.28 | Pavlodar | 101 : 77 | BC Almaty 2 |
| 2020.02.03 | BC Almaty 2 | 56 : 85 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.12.15 | BC Almaty 2 | 46 : 88 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.11.20 | Pavlodar | 107 : 67 | BC Almaty 2 |