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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Higher League Kazakhstan
ShymkentHOME · -
100 : 442022.10.20 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME47.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.8%
VALUE EDGE+52.8%
FAIR ODDS1.89
GRADEA
ShymkentAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
75.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+14.42 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
134.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.67
83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.9 / 15
Prediction separation2.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
47.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Shymkent
Collecting Data
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 77-82L · 69-67W · 86-73L · 71-83L · 78-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.06Shymkent91 : 66Kaspiy Aktau
2022.11.15Shymkent80 : 63Kaspiy Aktau
2022.10.20Shymkent100 : 44Kaspiy Aktau