Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Semi-finals
KapshagayHOME · -
79 : 692014.04.03 · 종료
AtyrauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME31.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY68.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+68.6%
VALUE EDGE+68.6%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
KapshagayAnalysis MetricsAtyrau
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
10.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kapshagay
W · 83-84L · 89-66W · 75-103W · 0-20L · 73-78
Atyrau
W · 83-60W · 89-66W · 104-69L · 66-77W · 62-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.16 | Kapshagay | 60 : 91 | Atyrau |
| 2016.04.14 | Atyrau | 91 : 88 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.04.13 | Atyrau | 80 : 75 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.03.21 | Kapshagay | 91 : 95 | Atyrau |
| 2016.03.20 | Kapshagay | 65 : 82 | Atyrau |
| 2016.01.31 | Atyrau | 92 : 74 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.01.30 | Atyrau | 95 : 67 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.12.15 | Atyrau | 84 : 67 | Kapshagay |
| 2014.04.13 | Atyrau | 78 : 72 | Kapshagay |
| 2014.04.09 | Atyrau | 96 : 48 | Kapshagay |