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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
AstanaHOME · -
110 : 892014.03.17 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 88.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +87.2%
VALUE EDGE+87.2%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
AstanaAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
-7.67 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
169.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
87.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana
W · 66-77L · 0-20W · 101-61W · 91-48W · 82-54
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 66-81W · 69-112L · 82-54W · 72-61L · 64-60

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.17Kaspiy Aktau71 : 83Astana
2016.04.14Astana78 : 70Kaspiy Aktau
2016.04.13Astana75 : 73Kaspiy Aktau
2016.04.03Kaspiy Aktau88 : 84Astana
2016.04.02Kaspiy Aktau70 : 74Astana
2016.01.19Astana75 : 64Kaspiy Aktau
2015.04.09Astana79 : 66Kaspiy Aktau
2015.02.04Astana76 : 56Kaspiy Aktau
2015.02.03Astana76 : 47Kaspiy Aktau
2014.11.26Astana70 : 56Kaspiy Aktau