Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Final
AstanaHOME · -
73 : 822016.05.03 · 종료
AtyrauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
AstanaAnalysis MetricsAtyrau
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
169.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana
L · 87-67W · 71-83W · 78-70W · 75-73L · 88-84
Atyrau
W · 87-67W · 60-91W · 91-88W · 80-75W · 60-91
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.03 | Astana | 73 : 82 | Atyrau |
| 2016.04.28 | Atyrau | 87 : 67 | Astana |
| 2016.02.25 | Astana | 90 : 83 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.24 | Astana | 78 : 87 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.04 | Atyrau | 104 : 87 | Astana |
| 2016.02.03 | Atyrau | 99 : 78 | Astana |
| 2014.04.22 | Atyrau | 64 : 73 | Astana |
| 2014.04.18 | Astana | 87 : 65 | Atyrau |
| 2014.04.17 | Astana | 90 : 61 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.15 | Atyrau | 66 : 77 | Astana |