Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Final
AtyrauHOME · -
87 : 672016.04.28 · 종료
AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.5%
VALUE EDGE+66.5%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
AtyrauAnalysis MetricsAstana
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.67
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
12.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau
W · 60-91W · 91-88W · 80-75W · 60-91W · 70-82
Astana
W · 71-83W · 78-70W · 75-73L · 88-84W · 70-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.03 | Astana | 73 : 82 | Atyrau |
| 2016.04.28 | Atyrau | 87 : 67 | Astana |
| 2016.02.25 | Astana | 90 : 83 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.24 | Astana | 78 : 87 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.04 | Atyrau | 104 : 87 | Astana |
| 2016.02.03 | Atyrau | 99 : 78 | Astana |
| 2014.04.22 | Atyrau | 64 : 73 | Astana |
| 2014.04.18 | Astana | 87 : 65 | Atyrau |
| 2014.04.17 | Astana | 90 : 61 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.15 | Atyrau | 66 : 77 | Astana |