Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - 3rd place
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
86 : 732016.04.23 · 종료
KapshagayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.6%
VALUE EDGE+76.6%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsKapshagay
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 71-83L · 78-70L · 75-73W · 88-84L · 70-74
Kapshagay
L · 60-91L · 91-88L · 80-75W · 93-71W · 91-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.30 | Kaspiy Aktau | 77 : 82 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.04.26 | Kapshagay | 69 : 67 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.04.23 | Kaspiy Aktau | 86 : 73 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.03.29 | Kapshagay | 83 : 73 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.03.28 | Kapshagay | 68 : 74 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.02.04 | Kaspiy Aktau | 89 : 68 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.02.03 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 81 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.11.14 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 66 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.04.10 | Kapshagay | 65 : 76 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.03.13 | Kapshagay | 58 : 66 | Kaspiy Aktau |