Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Semi-finals
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
71 : 832016.04.17 · 종료
AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+52.7%
VALUE EDGE+52.7%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAstana
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.67
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.83
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.7 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 78-70L · 75-73W · 88-84L · 70-74L · 83-73
Astana
W · 78-70W · 75-73L · 88-84W · 70-74W · 69-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.17 | Kaspiy Aktau | 71 : 83 | Astana |
| 2016.04.14 | Astana | 78 : 70 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.04.13 | Astana | 75 : 73 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.04.03 | Kaspiy Aktau | 88 : 84 | Astana |
| 2016.04.02 | Kaspiy Aktau | 70 : 74 | Astana |
| 2016.01.19 | Astana | 75 : 64 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.04.09 | Astana | 79 : 66 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.04 | Astana | 76 : 56 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.03 | Astana | 76 : 47 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2014.11.26 | Astana | 70 : 56 | Kaspiy Aktau |