Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
69 : 842016.03.30 · 종료
AstanaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.3%
VALUE EDGE+55.3%
FAIR ODDS1.81
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsAstana
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.67
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
169.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
37.5%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
L · 72-82L · 60-91L · 70-82W · 82-78W · 76-69
Astana
W · 72-82W · 54-62L · 69-42L · 50-68W · 66-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Almaty | 83 : 92 | Astana |
| 2026.10.31 | Almaty | 86 : 72 | Astana |
| 2016.03.30 | Almaty | 69 : 84 | Astana |
| 2016.03.30 | Almaty | 72 : 82 | Astana |
| 2016.01.28 | Astana | 83 : 61 | Almaty |
| 2016.01.27 | Astana | 81 : 75 | Almaty |
| 2015.04.10 | Astana | 81 : 56 | Almaty |
| 2015.03.27 | Astana | 99 : 47 | Almaty |
| 2015.03.26 | Astana | 128 : 59 | Almaty |
| 2014.10.22 | Astana | 99 : 65 | Almaty |