Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
70 : 822016.03.24 · 종료
AtyrauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.3%
VALUE EDGE+58.3%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsAtyrau
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
W · 82-78W · 76-69L · 81-70L · 78-70L · 78-66
Atyrau
W · 91-95W · 65-82W · 74-66W · 84-79L · 90-83
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.04 | Atyrau | 55 : 64 | Almaty |
| 2026.11.03 | Atyrau | 70 : 64 | Almaty |
| 2016.03.25 | Almaty | 60 : 91 | Atyrau |
| 2016.03.24 | Almaty | 70 : 82 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.17 | Atyrau | 78 : 66 | Almaty |
| 2016.02.16 | Atyrau | 100 : 74 | Almaty |
| 2015.11.14 | Almaty | 83 : 84 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.18 | Atyrau | 104 : 69 | Almaty |
| 2014.02.15 | Almaty | 62 : 94 | Atyrau |
| 2013.11.20 | Atyrau | 131 : 71 | Almaty |