Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Tobol Kostanay 2HOME · -
56 : 582016.03.22 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.2%
VALUE EDGE+63.2%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
Tobol Kostanay 2Analysis MetricsPavlodar
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-13.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
141.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation11.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay 2
W · 69-42L · 85-64L · 66-72L · 57-75L · 85-57
Pavlodar
L · 43-83L · 63-57L · 65-51L · 81-55L · 50-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.22 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 56 : 58 | Pavlodar |
| 2016.02.18 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 61 : 56 | Pavlodar |
| 2015.11.13 | Pavlodar | 79 : 87 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |