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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Tobol Kostanay 2HOME · -
69 : 422016.03.21 · 종료
KokshetayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.1%
VALUE EDGE+58.1%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Tobol Kostanay 2Analysis MetricsKokshetay
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-15.67 Point MarginHigher is better +10.67
141.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 146.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay 2
L · 85-64L · 66-72L · 57-75L · 85-57L · 86-54
Kokshetay
L · 71-39L · 47-51W · 81-55W · 56-83L · 59-62

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.21Tobol Kostanay 269 : 42Kokshetay
2016.02.17Tobol Kostanay 282 : 85Kokshetay
2015.11.15Tobol Kostanay 286 : 84Kokshetay