Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
43 : 832016.03.21 · 종료
Tobol KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY88.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.67
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
175.67
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 63-57L · 65-51L · 81-55L · 50-73L · 70-39
Tobol Kostanay
W · 71-39W · 81-49W · 51-78W · 85-57L · 74-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.11.21 | Tobol Kostanay | 95 : 53 | Pavlodar |
| 2016.03.21 | Pavlodar | 43 : 83 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2016.02.17 | Pavlodar | 43 : 102 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2015.12.10 | Pavlodar | 57 : 114 | Tobol Kostanay |