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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Atyrau 2HOME · -
69 : 422016.03.21 · 종료
AstanaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsAstana
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -7.67
106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.83
37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 37.5%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau 2
W · 85-64L · 81-49W · 52-46W · 50-73W · 59-62
Astana
L · 50-68W · 66-72W · 86-68W · 94-68W · 90-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.21Atyrau 269 : 42Astana