Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Division I Kazakhstan

Atyrau 2HOME · -

85 : 642016.03.20 · 종료

Tobol Kostanay 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME79.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY20.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100

AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +79.9%

VALUE EDGE+79.9%

FAIR ODDS1.25

GRADEB

Atyrau 2Analysis MetricsTobol Kostanay 2

25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-15.25 Point MarginHigher is better -11.67

106.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 138.50

37.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.1 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement5.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

79.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

20.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Atyrau 2

L · 81-49W · 52-46W · 50-73W · 59-62L · 66-76

Tobol Kostanay 2

L · 66-72L · 57-75L · 85-57L · 86-54W · 61-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.03.20	Atyrau 2	85 : 64	Tobol Kostanay 2
2016.02.02	Atyrau 2	76 : 68	Tobol Kostanay 2
2015.12.15	Tobol Kostanay 2	50 : 60	Atyrau 2