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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
AstanaHOME · -
50 : 682016.03.20 · 종료
KazygurtAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 68.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +66.8%
VALUE EDGE+66.8%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEB
AstanaAnalysis MetricsKazygurt
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-7.67 Point MarginHigher is better +3.25
169.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.58
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 75.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation14.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
66.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
33.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana
W · 66-72W · 86-68W · 94-68W · 90-83L · 78-87
Kazygurt
W · 65-51W · 57-75L · 56-83W · 74-65W · 66-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.20Astana50 : 68Kazygurt