Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Division I Kazakhstan

Tobol KostanayHOME · -

81 : 492016.03.19 · 종료

Atyrau 2AWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME85.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY14.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +85.6%

VALUE EDGE+85.6%

FAIR ODDS1.17

GRADES

Tobol KostanayAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2

83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%

+15.67 Point MarginHigher is better -15.25

175.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 106.92

83.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

85.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

14.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tobol Kostanay

W · 51-78W · 85-57L · 74-65W · 98-49W · 43-102

Atyrau 2

W · 52-46W · 50-73W · 59-62L · 66-76W · 70-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.10.26	Tobol Kostanay	89 : 48	Atyrau 2
2016.03.19	Tobol Kostanay	81 : 49	Atyrau 2
2016.01.31	Tobol Kostanay	91 : 42	Atyrau 2
2015.11.14	Atyrau 2	65 : 98	Tobol Kostanay