Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AtyrauHOME · -
84 : 792016.03.14 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME58.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+58.4%
VALUE EDGE+58.4%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
AtyrauAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.67
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau
L · 90-83W · 78-87W · 78-66W · 100-74L · 99-74
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 81-70W · 78-70W · 89-68L · 72-81W · 68-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.15 | Atyrau | 74 : 66 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.03.14 | Atyrau | 84 : 79 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.01.27 | Kaspiy Aktau | 68 : 65 | Atyrau |
| 2016.01.26 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 100 | Atyrau |
| 2015.12.14 | Kaspiy Aktau | 62 : 79 | Atyrau |
| 2015.04.02 | Kaspiy Aktau | 84 : 68 | Atyrau |
| 2015.04.01 | Kaspiy Aktau | 83 : 88 | Atyrau |
| 2015.03.30 | Kaspiy Aktau | 93 : 64 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.26 | Atyrau | 83 : 60 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2014.01.27 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 61 | Atyrau |