Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AstanaHOME · -
86 : 682016.03.02 · 종료
KapshagayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.2%
VALUE EDGE+82.2%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
AstanaAnalysis MetricsKapshagay
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
169.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana
W · 94-68W · 90-83L · 78-87W · 98-71W · 95-40
Kapshagay
L · 94-68L · 82-78L · 76-69L · 98-71L · 95-40
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.02 | Astana | 86 : 68 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.03.01 | Astana | 94 : 68 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.02.11 | Astana | 98 : 71 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.02.10 | Astana | 95 : 40 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.02.25 | Astana | 0 : 20 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.01.21 | Astana | 48 : 105 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.01.20 | Astana | 52 : 107 | Kapshagay |
| 2014.12.18 | Astana | 60 : 82 | Kapshagay |
| 2014.10.29 | Astana | 88 : 64 | Kapshagay |
| 2014.10.28 | Astana | 91 : 62 | Kapshagay |