Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
76 : 692016.02.25 · 종료
KapshagayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.3%
VALUE EDGE+63.3%
FAIR ODDS1.58
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsKapshagay
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation11.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
L · 81-70L · 78-70L · 78-66L · 100-74L · 83-61
Kapshagay
L · 98-71L · 95-40L · 89-68W · 72-81L · 92-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.04.13 | Almaty | 92 : 85 | Kapshagay |
| 2017.04.12 | Kapshagay | 95 : 96 | Almaty |
| 2017.04.04 | Almaty | 77 : 56 | Kapshagay |
| 2017.03.17 | Kapshagay | 96 : 74 | Almaty |
| 2017.02.18 | Kapshagay | 82 : 83 | Almaty |
| 2017.01.24 | Almaty | 90 : 76 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.12.24 | Almaty | 79 : 86 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.12.10 | Kapshagay | 87 : 82 | Almaty |
| 2016.11.21 | Almaty | 96 : 85 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.04.06 | Kapshagay | 93 : 71 | Almaty |