Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Astana 2HOME · -
51 : 782016.02.21 · 종료
Tobol KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY86.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.9%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+86.3%
VALUE EDGE+86.3%
FAIR ODDS1.16
GRADEA
Astana 2Analysis MetricsTobol Kostanay
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+4.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.67
145.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
175.67
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana 2
L · 69-46W · 70-39W · 53-70L · 70-54L · 52-65
Tobol Kostanay
W · 85-57L · 74-65W · 98-49W · 43-102W · 91-60
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.11.22 | Tobol Kostanay | 78 : 47 | Astana 2 |
| 2016.02.21 | Astana 2 | 51 : 78 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2016.01.30 | Astana 2 | 64 : 88 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2015.11.12 | Tobol Kostanay | 103 : 32 | Astana 2 |