Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
78 : 702016.02.20 · 종료
AlmatyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEB
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAlmaty
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.17
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 89-68L · 72-81W · 68-65L · 72-100L · 75-64
Almaty
L · 78-66L · 100-74L · 83-61L · 81-75L · 52-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.21 | Kaspiy Aktau | 81 : 70 | Almaty |
| 2016.02.20 | Kaspiy Aktau | 78 : 70 | Almaty |
| 2016.01.16 | Almaty | 52 : 63 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.01.15 | Almaty | 66 : 62 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.12.15 | Almaty | 70 : 82 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.09 | Almaty | 58 : 75 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.08 | Almaty | 81 : 89 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2014.12.02 | Kaspiy Aktau | 73 : 77 | Almaty |
| 2014.12.01 | Kaspiy Aktau | 49 : 63 | Almaty |
| 2014.11.07 | Almaty | 88 : 77 | Kaspiy Aktau |