Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
50 : 732016.02.20 · 종료
Atyrau 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.8%
VALUE EDGE+75.8%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADEB
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsAtyrau 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.25
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
106.92
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 70-39L · 61-56L · 43-102L · 52-65L · 90-59
Atyrau 2
W · 59-62L · 66-76W · 70-54W · 76-68L · 91-42
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.08 | Pavlodar | 80 : 70 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2022.10.22 | Pavlodar | 73 : 68 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2021.03.25 | Pavlodar | 82 : 68 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2020.12.16 | Atyrau 2 | 65 : 68 | Pavlodar |
| 2020.11.22 | Atyrau 2 | 62 : 81 | Pavlodar |
| 2020.02.27 | Atyrau 2 | 54 : 93 | Pavlodar |
| 2020.01.30 | Pavlodar | 96 : 74 | Atyrau 2 |
| 2019.12.12 | Atyrau 2 | 59 : 66 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.11.22 | Atyrau 2 | 65 : 74 | Pavlodar |
| 2019.10.17 | Atyrau 2 | 45 : 78 | Pavlodar |