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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Astana 2HOME · -
70 : 392016.02.19 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADES
Astana 2Analysis MetricsPavlodar
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -15.58
145.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.92
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana 2
W · 53-70L · 70-54L · 52-65W · 77-81L · 64-88
Pavlodar
L · 61-56L · 43-102L · 52-65L · 90-59L · 67-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2017.03.26Astana 269 : 64Pavlodar
2017.03.04Astana 265 : 72Pavlodar
2017.02.12Astana 281 : 69Pavlodar
2016.11.23Pavlodar64 : 74Astana 2
2016.02.19Astana 270 : 39Pavlodar
2016.01.27Astana 270 : 62Pavlodar
2015.12.15Astana 270 : 71Pavlodar