Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Tobol KostanayHOME · -
98 : 492016.02.18 · 종료
Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.6%
VALUE EDGE+83.6%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEB
Tobol KostanayAnalysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+15.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
175.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay
W · 43-102W · 91-60W · 91-42W · 64-88W · 100-51
Bars Petropavlovsk
W · 76-85W · 52-65W · 58-71W · 61-68L · 69-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.11.25 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 66 : 76 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2016.03.22 | Tobol Kostanay | 77 : 33 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2016.02.18 | Tobol Kostanay | 98 : 49 | Bars Petropavlovsk |
| 2015.11.11 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 56 : 75 | Tobol Kostanay |