Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Tobol Kostanay 2HOME · -
61 : 562016.02.18 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Tobol Kostanay 2Analysis MetricsPavlodar
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
141.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay 2
L · 82-85L · 76-68L · 77-81L · 85-63L · 100-51
Pavlodar
L · 43-102L · 52-65L · 90-59L · 67-81L · 68-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.22 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 56 : 58 | Pavlodar |
| 2016.02.18 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 61 : 56 | Pavlodar |
| 2015.11.13 | Pavlodar | 79 : 87 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |