Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AtyrauHOME · -
78 : 662016.02.17 · 종료
AlmatyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.6%
VALUE EDGE+71.6%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
AtyrauAnalysis MetricsAlmaty
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.17
150.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau
W · 100-74L · 99-74L · 105-77W · 104-87W · 99-78
Almaty
L · 100-74L · 83-61L · 81-75L · 52-63W · 66-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.04 | Atyrau | 55 : 64 | Almaty |
| 2026.11.03 | Atyrau | 70 : 64 | Almaty |
| 2016.03.25 | Almaty | 60 : 91 | Atyrau |
| 2016.03.24 | Almaty | 70 : 82 | Atyrau |
| 2016.02.17 | Atyrau | 78 : 66 | Almaty |
| 2016.02.16 | Atyrau | 100 : 74 | Almaty |
| 2015.11.14 | Almaty | 83 : 84 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.18 | Atyrau | 104 : 69 | Almaty |
| 2014.02.15 | Almaty | 62 : 94 | Atyrau |
| 2013.11.20 | Atyrau | 131 : 71 | Almaty |