Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
70 : 822015.12.15 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
W · 66-68L · 69-83W · 57-75W · 87-50W · 73-41
Kaspiy Aktau
L · 62-79W · 62-86W · 88-34W · 31-76W · 96-70
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.21 | Kaspiy Aktau | 81 : 70 | Almaty |
| 2016.02.20 | Kaspiy Aktau | 78 : 70 | Almaty |
| 2016.01.16 | Almaty | 52 : 63 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.01.15 | Almaty | 66 : 62 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.12.15 | Almaty | 70 : 82 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.09 | Almaty | 58 : 75 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.02.08 | Almaty | 81 : 89 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2014.12.02 | Kaspiy Aktau | 73 : 77 | Almaty |
| 2014.12.01 | Kaspiy Aktau | 49 : 63 | Almaty |
| 2014.11.07 | Almaty | 88 : 77 | Kaspiy Aktau |