Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Tobol Kostanay 2HOME · -
48 : 722015.12.13 · 종료
Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.1%
VALUE EDGE+69.1%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Tobol Kostanay 2Analysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-9.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
138.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.50
28.6%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay 2
L · 91-39L · 38-60L · 96-70W · 86-84L · 88-48
Bars Petropavlovsk
L · 57-74L · 87-50L · 37-109L · 58-64W · 72-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.19 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 86 : 54 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |
| 2016.01.27 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 75 : 67 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |
| 2015.12.13 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 48 : 72 | Bars Petropavlovsk |