Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
39 : 692015.12.13 · 종료
KapshagayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME12.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY87.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+87.9%
VALUE EDGE+87.9%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsKapshagay
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.67
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 88-34L · 66-65L · 57-114L · 90-49W · 67-60
Kapshagay
W · 91-39W · 39-72W · 89-47W · 53-89W · 75-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.10.26 | Pavlodar | 42 : 71 | Kapshagay |
| 2015.12.13 | Pavlodar | 39 : 69 | Kapshagay |