Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
69 : 832015.12.13 · 종료
Tobol KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.1%
VALUE EDGE+75.1%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.67
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
175.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
W · 57-75W · 87-50W · 73-41W · 90-49L · 106-99
Tobol Kostanay
W · 25-66L · 62-78W · 57-114L · 78-80W · 65-98
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.04.16 | Almaty | 98 : 97 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2017.04.15 | Tobol Kostanay | 100 : 89 | Almaty |
| 2017.04.05 | Tobol Kostanay | 93 : 84 | Almaty |
| 2017.03.18 | Almaty | 71 : 80 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2017.02.19 | Tobol Kostanay | 105 : 69 | Almaty |
| 2017.01.25 | Tobol Kostanay | 97 : 81 | Almaty |
| 2016.12.25 | Tobol Kostanay | 97 : 87 | Almaty |
| 2016.12.11 | Tobol Kostanay | 93 : 64 | Almaty |
| 2016.10.28 | Tobol Kostanay | 70 : 69 | Almaty |
| 2015.12.13 | Almaty | 69 : 83 | Tobol Kostanay |