Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
88 : 342015.12.12 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME83.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+83.4%
VALUE EDGE+83.4%
FAIR ODDS1.20
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 31-76W · 96-70W · 36-79W · 78-80W · 72-66
Pavlodar
L · 66-65L · 57-114L · 90-49W · 67-60L · 79-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.10 | Pavlodar | 60 : 61 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2022.11.19 | Pavlodar | 70 : 47 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2022.10.24 | Pavlodar | 77 : 73 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.12.12 | Kaspiy Aktau | 88 : 34 | Pavlodar |