Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan

Tobol KostanayHOME · -
62 : 782015.12.11 · 종료
AtyrauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.3%
VALUE EDGE+59.3%
FAIR ODDS1.69
GRADEA
Tobol KostanayAnalysis MetricsAtyrau
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+15.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
175.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.1 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay
W · 57-114L · 78-80W · 65-98W · 58-71W · 103-32
Atyrau
W · 37-109W · 66-72L · 76-74L · 93-69W · 83-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.12.11 | Tobol Kostanay | 62 : 78 | Atyrau |