Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Division I Kazakhstan

PavlodarHOME · -

57 : 1142015.12.10 · 종료

Tobol KostanayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME14.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY85.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK AWAY 89.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +85.5%

VALUE EDGE+85.5%

FAIR ODDS1.17

GRADEA

PavlodarAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%

-15.58 Point MarginHigher is better +15.67

152.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 175.67

20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 83.3%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

14.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

85.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Pavlodar

L · 90-49W · 67-60L · 79-87L · 72-67L · 83-56

Tobol Kostanay

L · 78-80W · 65-98W · 58-71W · 103-32W · 56-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2016.11.21	Tobol Kostanay	95 : 53	Pavlodar
2016.03.21	Pavlodar	43 : 83	Tobol Kostanay
2016.02.17	Pavlodar	43 : 102	Tobol Kostanay
2015.12.10	Pavlodar	57 : 114	Tobol Kostanay