Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
96 : 702015.12.10 · 종료
Tobol Kostanay 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME86.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 89.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+86.6%
VALUE EDGE+86.6%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay 2
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.33
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
138.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 36-79W · 78-80W · 72-66W · 79-49W · 43-93
Tobol Kostanay 2
W · 86-84L · 88-48W · 79-87L · 84-29L · 28-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.12.10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 96 : 70 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |