Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
AlmatyHOME · -
90 : 492015.11.16 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.4%
VALUE EDGE+74.4%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-15.58
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.92
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
L · 106-99L · 83-84W · 35-88W · 84-29L · 81-56
Pavlodar
W · 67-60L · 79-87L · 72-67L · 83-56
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.10.30 | Pavlodar | 28 : 86 | Almaty |
| 2015.11.16 | Almaty | 90 : 49 | Pavlodar |