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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Astana 2HOME · -
36 : 792015.11.16 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
Astana 2Analysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+4.50 Point MarginHigher is better -2.00
145.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 137.67
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana 2
L · 75-49L · 72-80L · 53-68L · 103-32
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 78-80W · 72-66W · 79-49W · 43-93W · 65-76

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.11.16Astana 236 : 79Kaspiy Aktau