Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Tobol KostanayHOME · -
78 : 802015.11.15 · 종료
Kaspiy AktauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME76.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
85/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+76.9%
VALUE EDGE+76.9%
FAIR ODDS1.30
GRADEA
Tobol KostanayAnalysis MetricsKaspiy Aktau
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+15.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.00
175.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
137.67
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay
W · 65-98W · 58-71W · 103-32W · 56-75
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 72-66W · 79-49W · 43-93W · 65-76L · 79-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.11.15 | Tobol Kostanay | 78 : 80 | Kaspiy Aktau |