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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
Tobol Kostanay 2HOME · -
86 : 842015.11.15 · 종료
KokshetayAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY71.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +71.1%
VALUE EDGE+71.1%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
Tobol Kostanay 2Analysis MetricsKokshetay
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better +10.67
138.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 146.83
28.6% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
28.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
71.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tobol Kostanay 2
L · 88-48W · 79-87L · 84-29L · 28-105
Kokshetay
L · 67-60L · 35-88L · 99-36

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.21Tobol Kostanay 269 : 42Kokshetay
2016.02.17Tobol Kostanay 282 : 85Kokshetay
2015.11.15Tobol Kostanay 286 : 84Kokshetay