Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
KapshagayHOME · -
58 : 712015.11.13 · 종료
Tobol KostanayAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.4%
VALUE EDGE+72.4%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEA
KapshagayAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
+1.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+15.67
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
175.67
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kapshagay
W · 56-70L · 65-76L · 58-66W · 0-20L · 62-70
Tobol Kostanay
W · 103-32W · 56-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.04.03 | Kapshagay | 59 : 94 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2017.03.16 | Tobol Kostanay | 97 : 103 | Kapshagay |
| 2017.02.17 | Tobol Kostanay | 92 : 67 | Kapshagay |
| 2017.01.23 | Kapshagay | 77 : 80 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2016.12.23 | Kapshagay | 97 : 80 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2016.12.09 | Tobol Kostanay | 87 : 70 | Kapshagay |
| 2016.10.29 | Kapshagay | 80 : 76 | Tobol Kostanay |
| 2015.11.13 | Kapshagay | 58 : 71 | Tobol Kostanay |