Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
79 : 492015.11.13 · 종료
Bars PetropavlovskAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.2%
VALUE EDGE+72.2%
FAIR ODDS1.38
GRADEB
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsBars Petropavlovsk
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+10.17
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
141.50
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 43-93W · 65-76L · 79-66W · 84-68L · 83-88
Bars Petropavlovsk
L · 56-70L · 56-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.16 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 75 : 77 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2023.02.17 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 91 : 75 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2022.12.07 | Bars Petropavlovsk | 73 : 63 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2015.11.13 | Kaspiy Aktau | 79 : 49 | Bars Petropavlovsk |