Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan
PavlodarHOME · -
79 : 872015.11.13 · 종료
Tobol Kostanay 2AWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.0%
VALUE EDGE+79.0%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
PavlodarAnalysis MetricsTobol Kostanay 2
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-15.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.33
152.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
138.33
20.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
64/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Pavlodar
L · 72-67L · 83-56
Tobol Kostanay 2
L · 84-29L · 28-105
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.22 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 56 : 58 | Pavlodar |
| 2016.02.18 | Tobol Kostanay 2 | 61 : 56 | Pavlodar |
| 2015.11.13 | Pavlodar | 79 : 87 | Tobol Kostanay 2 |