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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Division I Kazakhstan
AtyrauHOME · -
83 : 562015.11.11 · 종료
PavlodarAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME86.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY13.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 89.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +86.8%
VALUE EDGE+86.8%
FAIR ODDS1.15
GRADEA
AtyrauAnalysis MetricsPavlodar
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+2.42 Point MarginHigher is better -15.58
150.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 152.92
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
86.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
13.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Atyrau
W · 63-79W · 84-97L · 71-66L · 84-68W · 83-88
Pavlodar
Collecting Data

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2015.11.11Atyrau83 : 56Pavlodar