Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Final
AstanaHOME · -
81 : 562015.04.10 · 종료
AlmatyAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.2%
VALUE EDGE+78.2%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
AstanaAnalysis MetricsAlmaty
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-7.67
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.17
169.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Astana
W · 79-66W · 99-47W · 128-59L · 0-20W · 76-56
Almaty
W · 98-71W · 103-81L · 99-47L · 128-59L · 58-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.01 | Almaty | 83 : 92 | Astana |
| 2026.10.31 | Almaty | 86 : 72 | Astana |
| 2016.03.30 | Almaty | 69 : 84 | Astana |
| 2016.03.30 | Almaty | 72 : 82 | Astana |
| 2016.01.28 | Astana | 83 : 61 | Almaty |
| 2016.01.27 | Astana | 81 : 75 | Almaty |
| 2015.04.10 | Astana | 81 : 56 | Almaty |
| 2015.03.27 | Astana | 99 : 47 | Almaty |
| 2015.03.26 | Astana | 128 : 59 | Almaty |
| 2014.10.22 | Astana | 99 : 65 | Almaty |