Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Quarter-finals
AlmatyHOME · -
98 : 712015.04.01 · 종료
KazygurtAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.6%
VALUE EDGE+65.6%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEB
AlmatyAnalysis MetricsKazygurt
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
+0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.25
162.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
156.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
75.0%
1.8일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Almaty
W · 103-81L · 99-47L · 128-59L · 58-75L · 81-89
Kazygurt
L · 103-81
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017.04.03 | Almaty | 72 : 79 | Kazygurt |
| 2017.03.16 | Kazygurt | 92 : 98 | Almaty |
| 2017.02.17 | Almaty | 95 : 96 | Kazygurt |
| 2017.01.23 | Almaty | 88 : 75 | Kazygurt |
| 2016.12.23 | Almaty | 80 : 83 | Kazygurt |
| 2016.12.09 | Almaty | 106 : 74 | Kazygurt |
| 2015.11.15 | Kazygurt | 106 : 99 | Almaty |
| 2015.04.01 | Almaty | 98 : 71 | Kazygurt |
| 2015.03.30 | Almaty | 103 : 81 | Kazygurt |