Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Division I
Kazakhstan · National League - Quarter-finals
Kaspiy AktauHOME · -
93 : 642015.03.30 · 종료
AtyrauAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.7%
VALUE EDGE+51.7%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEA
Kaspiy AktauAnalysis MetricsAtyrau
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-2.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.42
137.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
150.58
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kaspiy Aktau
W · 58-66W · 62-70W · 58-75W · 81-89L · 76-56
Atyrau
L · 64-73L · 87-65L · 90-61W · 78-72W · 96-48
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.15 | Atyrau | 74 : 66 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.03.14 | Atyrau | 84 : 79 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2016.01.27 | Kaspiy Aktau | 68 : 65 | Atyrau |
| 2016.01.26 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 100 | Atyrau |
| 2015.12.14 | Kaspiy Aktau | 62 : 79 | Atyrau |
| 2015.04.02 | Kaspiy Aktau | 84 : 68 | Atyrau |
| 2015.04.01 | Kaspiy Aktau | 83 : 88 | Atyrau |
| 2015.03.30 | Kaspiy Aktau | 93 : 64 | Atyrau |
| 2014.03.26 | Atyrau | 83 : 60 | Kaspiy Aktau |
| 2014.01.27 | Kaspiy Aktau | 72 : 61 | Atyrau |